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Gear industry will usher in the fourth opportunity

Date:2017-08-23    Hits:1914

30 years have shaped a strong industry

Over the past 30 years, China's gear industry has seen three growth peaks, often referred to as three growth levels.

25 years ago, the development of motorcycle gear for gear industry in China from the value of several billion yuan into about 20000000000 Yuan; 16 years ago, the China joined WTO as a turning point, the development of car gear in China gear industry output value from the yuan jumped to about 130 billion yuan, this is the second stage gear industry development. 10 years ago, the development of wind power and construction machinery gear for the gear industry has brought third growth, making gear industry output value rose nearly 200 billion yuan. Over the past 5 years, China's gear industry has entered a relatively stable period of development, and in 2015, the industry output value has a small callback.

At present, the national gear enterprises nearly 1000, backbone gear enterprises more than 300, more than 100 million enterprises have more than 150. A number of enterprises in the annual sales of more than 2 billion yuan, 2, after 10 billion yuan. Several large state-owned enterprises are the backbone of the gear industry, and private enterprises have become the main force of the market.

Now, China has become a big country of gear manufacturing, and gear enterprises in China have been fully integrated into the world supporting system. More importantly, China's gear industry has formed the world's most complete industrial system, it can be said to cover the entire field of gear products. In the product aspect, the Chinese gear product has historically realized the transformation from the low end to the middle end, and some high-end products have appeared.

Localization of transmission and other industries is a breakthrough point

In recent years, the gear industry has been asking a question, where is the development direction of the industry? Where is our growth point? The author believes that the development of the fourth level is a comprehensive combination of domestic automatic transmission, robot based precision reducer and high-speed train gear box.

The automobile automatic transmission has always been a "pain" in the gear industry of our country". Over the past 20 years, the industry has invested a lot of material, financial and human resources in R & D, but the progress of industrialization has been unsatisfactory. The deficit in the gear industry stems from a large import of automatic transmissions, which reached $about 16000000000 in 2015, according to customs statistics. Exciting is that, after long-term efforts, the industrialization of automatic transmission has entered a substantive stage, is about to usher in a high tide of development. China has independent innovations in AT, AMT, CVT, DCT and hybrid transmission, especially in the field of AT and CVT. I estimate that in the next few years, when the domestic automatic transmission reached 5 million units, the domestic transmission industry will undergo a radical change in the composition.

At present, the precision reducer is mainly used in industrial robots, CNC machine tools and automation equipment. In the next few years, China's industrial robot industry will be in a period of rapid development, which provides a broad market prospect for high precision and high performance joint reducer. Unfortunately, China's robot precision reducer has long been dependent on imports; fortunately, this situation is about to change. Through the whole industry "tracking" and "independent innovation", and the strong government support, multi class robot RV harmonic reducer industry is actually in advance, the next 3 years will form a production capacity of 1 million units, will support China's robotics and intelligent equipment industry development.

Our high-speed rail train is a "gold card" made in china". However, behind the rise of China's high-end equipment, is the core of key components behind the constraints. The gear box is the core component of the power transmission of the high speed train, and its performance directly determines the reliability and safety of the high-speed train operation. The world's high-speed gear boxes are completely monopolized by companies such as Germany and japan. Compared with foreign countries has high iron, high iron because of its vast land and Chinese operation, big temperature difference between North and South span, high speed, long time running and other complex conditions, proposed more stringent requirements on the gear box reliability performance. In order to solve the problem of gear box bound high-speed rail development problem, the relevant enterprises in China find support in the country, and to solve the high-speed gear box temperature, vibration, light weight, reliability and other problems, forming an integrated design method, developed with independent intellectual products instead of foreign products, has been achieved industrialization.

Independent innovation has become the main theme of gear industry

The gear industry has entered fourth levels of development, and independent innovation has become the main theme. The author inspected, the first three growth of China gear industry, mainly due to introduction, digestion and re innovation. While the fourth stage for the development of gear industry reshuffle provides the opportunity for new leading enterprises will rest on our laurels some talent shows itself, enterprises will lose development opportunities, and will be out of the market.

It should be said that the current fourth level gear industry growth, the domestic related equipment industry can not meet this demand, and related gear industry should seize this opportunity to develop their own gear industry, at the same time, in turn, promote the development of gear industry fourth more quickly. These bases include the basis of talents, the technical basis, the management foundation and the industrial chain. The future output value will exceed 300 billion, and in the end, China will change from the big country of gear manufacturing to the gear manufacturing power.


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